Friday, December 3, 2010

NFL Preview Week 13

Nice slate here... As always, winners in bold...
  • Buffalo @ Minnesota - 1:00 - I may amend this if Peterson doesn't go (I think he will), but this was a toss-up to me... Buffalo is playing infinitely better than they were early in the year, and that's a team that can suddenly score points with the Fitzpatrick/Jackson/Johnson trio... for Minny, new coach Leslie Frazier seems to have the backing of the team (and importantly) Favre, and they have more talent here... home + talent = picking minny
  • Cleveland @ Miami - 1:00 - Upset special here... I'm down on Miami (even with Henne) and higher on Cleveland than most... Hillis should run wild (even Forte did for Chicago), McCoy is back and an upgrade over Delhomme, and Miami's not playing for much anymore... oh... and two words... Peyton... Hillis....
  • Denver @ Kansas City - 1:00 - Revenge game for the blowout they took earlier in the year... KC is just better... Bowe is playing out of his mind, they are running wild with Charles (suddenly 2nd in the NFL in rushing) and Jones, and Cassel's numbers have been crazy... I don't trust Denver at all, and especially not in Arrowhead...
  • Washington @ NY Giants - 1:00 - Seems like a pencil-in game for the Giants, but I don't really think so... the Giants receiving corps is decimated with injuries, they can't pick a running back, and it's kind of a mess.... that being said, they are better than Washington on defense, and I still don't think the Skins can score consistently...
  • San Fran @ Green Bay - 1:00 - Green Bay is good... San Francisco isn't... and it kills the Niners to lose their heart and soul in Frank Gore... I wasn't picking them with him, but it's simple math that I can't pick them in GB...
  • New Orleans @ Cincy - 1:00 - Cincy stinks... Carson Palmer stinks... Cedric Benson is back to Earth... and despite having a bunch of great players on defense, they can't stop anybody... and somehow? New Orleans is being overlooked... they're playing better than at any point in the season... and uh, they are the defending champs... Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush are supposedly back, so keep an eye out there
  • Oakland @ San Diego - 4:00 - Good luck picking against San Diego in December... they don't lose.. and especially don't take the Raiders... this is the largest vegas spread on the board (13 points), and it should be... Chargers by a bunch...
  • Atlanta @ Tampa Bay - 4:00 - A nice, nice game here... Atlanta is the better team IMO, but as we say every week, they are a different team at home, and this game is on the road... I really like Josh Freeman, and this could be a classic let-down game for the Falcons who have been told all week how great they are...
  • Carolina @ Seattle - 4:00 - Another bad road team/better home team!... and they get Carolina? It's almost unfair at this point to the Panthers... on the bright side, they played much better last week (St. Pierre!) and suddenly don't look as horrid as they did in previous weeks... that said, Hasselbeck is alive, and until he isn't, I can't take Carolina on the road...
  • Dallas @ Indy - 4:00 - Peyton is scuffling right now... 4 picks against San Diego, and the Colts aren't looking so sharp... so they get the present of getting Dallas at home... in fairness to them, the Cowboys have looked like a different team with Jason Garrett at the helm, but I can't see how you pick Kitna and the boys on the road against a legit opponent... This is Indy's chance to show they are still a semi-contender...
  • St. Louis @ Arizona - 4:00 - I can smell Derek Anderson from here... anyway... Arizona is rivaling Carolina as most inept team right now, and even at home (where they got the doors blown off on Monday) I can't pick them... Quietly (semi-quietly at least), Sam Bradford is playing out of his mind, and putting up one of the most impressive rookie campaigns ever... I think the Rams are the best team in the NFC West right now...
  • Pittsburgh @ Baltimore - 8:00 - Classic coin-flip game... my gut is telling me to roll with Pittsburgh... I trust Ben more than Flacco, and I think the Steelers defense is still better than Baltimore's even with the injuries... the key? Baltimore's pass D is quietly bad, and Mike Wallace will hit a deep ball or 2 here...
  • NY Jets @ New England - 8:30 Monday - Game of the year so far in the NFL... 9-2 vs. 9-2 and another "coinflip game"... comes down to this... New England has Tom Brady, and New England is at home... can't pick the Jets (or anyone else) in that type of spot yet...
THE PICKS! 39-34-2 Pending CFB
  • Cleveland +4.5 over Miami... I think they win outright
  • Green Bay -9.5 over SF... Blowout city
  • Indy -5.5 over Dallas... Peyton makes you remember that he's Peyton on Sunday...
Enjoy the slate!

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