Monday, March 26, 2012

2012 MLB Preview #26: New York Mets

Greetings... the lowly Mets...


C - Jose Thole
1B - Ike Davis
2B - Daniel Murphy
SS - Ruben Tejada
3B - David Wright
LF - Jason Bay
CF - Andres Torres
RF - Lucas Duda

If everything came together, this wouldn't be an awful lineup. That's about all I can say. David Wright is still a superstar but his injuries are mounting, and I'm not sure what to expect from him production-wise and in terms of games played. I like Ike Davis a lot but his .900+ OPS from last year has a pretty big asterisk of sample size with his injury history. Daniel Murphy is a career .292 with a couple years of over .300 who finally gets an everyday job at 2B, and he's going to hit. There's a reason that Bay got the massive contract, but he's failed (miserably) in the first couple of years, and they need him to at least hit 20 homers or so. The Pagan/Torres swap is pretty neutral for both teams, and Torres is average in center. Duda mashed down the stretch last year (.852 OPS, 10 homers in 300 ABS) but there's some batting average concern to go along with that power. Good luck.

Starting Rotation

1 - Johan Santana*
2 - Mike Pelfrey
3 - Jon Niese
4 - RA Dickey
5 - Dillon Gee

It's all about Santana. He didn't throw a single pitch in 2011, but he's always very good when he's actually pitching, and he's expected to start 2012 healthy. If he's right, he's an anchor and a 4 or 5-win player (at least), but if he isn't, this rotation is beyond ordinary. Pelfrey, Niese, and Gee all posted ERA's between 4.40 and 4.80 and none are impressive in any way. Dickey was the bright spot in 2011 posting a 3.28 ERA in 200+ innings, but as the only starting knuckle-baller in the majors, it's certainly far from a sure bet that he returns that type of value in 2012.


Kind of a mess here. Frank Francisco, Jon Rauch, and Bobby Parnell are the 3 closer candidates, and none are overly impressive. Francisco is the best pitcher of the 3 but has a long injury history, Rauch is good at times and bad at times, and Parnell has 100 MPH stuff, but has never done it before, and is wildly inconsistent. After that, Manny Acosta and Ramon Ramirez! Yahoo!


75-87, 5th in NL East

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